3 days ago · Find out more about our PECOTA projections. Read the release notes.

6 days ago · PECOTA simulates the season over and over to project what might happen for every team, and there are plenty of noteworthy projections for this year. Remember, standings projections aren't meant to be a perfect crystal ball for exactly how the season will shake out -- they're just an attempt to use all the information we have …

1 day ago · Orioles: PECOTA still expects the O's to compete for the division title despite losing Corbin Burnes and Anthony Santander. Orioles general manager Mike Elias had a puzzling offseason, failing to ...

3 days ago · PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is BP’s proprietary system that projects player and team performance. PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past performance and tries to project the most likely outcome for the following season.

Feb 3, 2025 · Traditionally, PECOTA projects individual batting events: not only strikeouts and walks, but singles, doubles, triples, home runs, etc. However, a projection is usually graded on composite run value. If the final run value is not accurate enough, you need to identify the problematic event and improve that model. Perfectly doable, but always ...

PECOTA, an acronym for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, [1] is a sabermetric system for forecasting Major League Baseball player performance.

They do so with 2025 PECOTA projections from Baseball Prospectus having the Dodgers remaining National League West champions by finishing the season 104-58, good for the best record in baseball....

6 days ago · PECOTA cannot necessarily project injuries. In 2023, the Yankees were viewed like the 99-win team in 2022, who made it through that season mostly healthy until late injuries to DJ LeMahieu, Andrew ...

Feb 3, 2025 · PECOTA gives the Twins a 62.9% chance to make the playoffs, a 45.3% chance to reach the divisional round, and a 4.7% chance to win the World Series. For context, that’s the ninth-highest ...

Feb 9, 2024 · Projection rollouts are part of the lead-up to every baseball season, and two of the most trusted sources around -- Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA and FanGraphs (based on a combination of the Steamer ZiPS projection systems) -- have now released their projected standings for 2024.