The chances that Florida will feel rain, surf and winds from a tropical system next week continues to rise. Category 1 Hurricane Humberto is on track to steer clear of the U.S. coast. But the tropical wave under watch all week is on the cusp on developing into a tropical depression or storm — potentially as soon as Friday evening.

The first cone for what will become Imelda is out and includes parts of NE Florida. The National Hurricane Center has called the disturbance near the east tip of Cuba a Potential Cyclone. This means it is likely that this will become a tropical storm and a possible hurricane in time.

A tropical system in the southwestern Atlantic is quickly organizing as chances grow for for Invest 94L to develop into Imelda.

Chances of wind, rainfall, and storm surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast during the next several days are increasing.

It appears “future” Imelda is on track to remain east of South Florida this weekend. The forecast path shows the system moving northwestward over the Bahamas, Saturday into Sunday, bringing heavy rain and tropical storm conditions (winds around 40 to 50 mph).

There is a high chance for Invest 94L to become Imelda soon. The forecast is complex, as several factors are at play.