There’s a good chance that Berkshire Hathaway’s stock will lag the S&P 500 in the coming years. This is a matter of simple probabilities, and not a criticism of Berkshire Hathaway Chairman and Chief Executive Warren Buffett or his designated successors.

Warren Buffett is out of step with the markets. The S&P 500 returned 25% in 2024 and is up another 4% this year, but Berkshire Hathaway refuses to join the party and continues to be a net seller of stocks.

Berkshire entered a new holding in Constellation Brands during the fourth quarter of 2024. Buffett's firm also trimmed its position in Bank of America.