While Iran may hate Israel, it has not (under this telling of its events) seen a full-blown war as in its interests. For that reason, it has been reserving its most devastating weapons — and those of its remaining allies, like the Houthis in Yemen or Iraqi militias — in order to avoid escalation.

Israel launched unprecedented strikes against Iran on Friday, targeting its nuclear program and military leaders. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned that Israel will face “severe punishment.