Realize the forecast cone (”cone of uncertainty”) is the average forecast error over a given time - out to 5 days - & *does ...

(1) The weak low pressure system that crossed Florida Tuesday has traversed the Central & Northern Gulf & will come ashore on ...

The National Hurricane Center is urging journalists to focus less on storm hype and more on the overlooked dangers that actually kill people ...

(1) The Central Atlantic tropical wave continues to “dampen” while moving west/northwest.

Wind shear (red - strong shear; green - low shear). Shear is typically strong to start the hurricane season: ...

But that is also its downfall. 🌀 2025 Hurricane Season Guide: Storm preparedness tips, supply list, evacuation zones. How to understand a hurricane's "cone of uncertainty" People can misread ...

Nearly 7 million people in South Texas are within the forecast cone for Hurricane Beryl's potential early next week, posing risks of heavy rains, hazardous rip currents and powerful winds.

The hurricane forecast cone has been used since 2002 The hurricane forecast cone was introduced in 2002 as a way to better communicate the track of an incoming storm to the public. But it’s had ...

According to the National Hurricane Center, the cone of uncertainty will be 3-5% smaller than in years past. This will better pinpoint where the hurricane will go.

The storm downgraded to a Category 3 major hurricane overnight, according to the 3 a. m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Dorian now has maximum sustained winds of 120 mph.

The hurricane tracking cone has gotten increasingly smaller over the years as forecasting has improved. In 2025, the cone is about 3% to 5% smaller than it was in 2024.