Refining building permits data with yield curve inversions and momentum can improve recession forecasts. Click to find out ...

Treasury Bond ETF offers a safe, low-risk alternative to cash with a yield of 4.19%. Read why I rate SGOV ETF as a hold.

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

(FRED) President Trump's tariff shock that drove a sharp selloff in long-duration Treasurys has pushed a closely followed plot along the yield curve to its highest level in three years, according ...