As of July 11th, the index was at 9.13, down from the previous week and with 3 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

Although today’s dangers are not in the same league as a world war, they are significant. Pundits talk of a “polycrisis” ...

For the moment, businesses, households and financial markets are locked in an elaborate game of wait-and-see. Companies ...

Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal said the US's economic forecast looks better now than it did three months ago.

The U.S. economy shows resilience as growth continues, retail sales rebound, and markets hit highs despite tariffs and uncertainty. Read what investors need to know.

In the face of chaos, the global economy powers on. Since 2011 growth has continued at around 3% a year. During the worst of the euro crisis in 2012? Around 3%. What about 2016, the year Britain voted ...

Trump has rolled back many of his steepest tariffs over recent months, including a sky-high levy on China, the top source of ...

The Beveridge curve shows the relationship between a labor market's job vacancy rate and its unemployment rate. Can it ...

It hasn't been an easy start to 2025 for Jerome Powell. Unfortunately for the Fed chair, the second half of the year is likely to be even tougher.

Nine months after the 2024 election, we've been graced with definitive dissections of the electorate and how it has changed ...

Writing TKer is a process. I first catch up on news and research, and I see what topics are being debated. Then I settle on an angle. Then I draft the newsletter. Then I edit. Then I have an editor ...

There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one in five, in fact, based on the unusually wide spread between the Conference ...