In reality, the storm made landfall near Acapulco as a Category 5 hurricane. ... Last year the EURO-AI model burst onto the scene and will be used in official capacity during the 2025 season.

A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic. It’s this season’s first “ghost hurricane.

Last year, NOAA predicted an above-average number of storms, with between 8 and 13 hurricanes. The 2024 season ended up ...

For now, several atmospheric and oceanic factors are contributing to the current lull in tropical activity. Strong wind shear ...

NOAA's forecasting model, the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System or HAFS, is expected to undergo an upgrade that officials believe could increase the accuracy of storm tracking by about 5%.