The July 1998 yield curve unwind (chart below) occurred one month before a very strong -20% correction in the S&P 500, but the bull cycle would actually end in March 2000, so from the yield curve ...

As you can see in Figure 1, like clockwork, whenever the yield curve un-inverts (the green line moves below the black line, ...

The yield curve is frequently spoken about when investors are discussing bonds and wider economics, but what precisely is it?

The yield curve was identified as a recession predictor in the 1980s by Duke University economist Campbell Harvey. Though it can feel confusing and technical, Harvey said, at its heart, the yield ...

The yield curve is no longer inverted, which has important implications for investors. How to Position Your Bond Portfolio as Short-Term Yields Fall | Morningstar Morningstar brands and products ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that ...

Treasury yield is in focus today as it hovers near 3.90%, contrary to earlier claims of a spike to 3.948%. Reliable sources ...

The so-called yield curve that tracks U.S. Treasury debt has been inverted for 20 months. Plus, credit card trouble and a chocolatier check-in.

Expect a steepening yield curve as the US national debt continues to grow unchecked. One portfolio manager shares 3 fixed income opportunities.

It's happening. The 10-year Treasury yield eclipsed its 2-year counterpart on Thursday morning, putting the Treasury yield curve in positive territory once more on an intraday basis. Inversions of ...