UBS expects the US economy to slow significantly in 2025, projecting real GDP growth to fall to around 1%. In a note to clients issued Tuesday, the bank pointed to a combination of fading fiscal ...

Preston Caldwell, senior US economist at Morningstar “While Q1 2025 real GDP growth was negative, this doesn’t mark the beginning of a recession.

Higher tariffs would unambiguously reduce real GDP. We estimate a 1.6% long-run impact: a 1.1% impact from the 10% uniform hike and a 0.5% impact from the 60% China hike.

Real GDP fell in the year's first quarter at an annualized rate of 0.3%. That doesn't mean a recession, but Americans have been worried one will happen this year.

The advance estimate of U.S. real GDP indicated a 0.3% Q/Q decrease in Q1, on an annual rate, weaker than the +0.2% consensus and reversing from the 2.4% growth logged in Q4 2024, according to ...

The U.S. economy contracted at a rate of 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, according to an estimate released on Wednesday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The Commerce Department released its third estimate of U.S. gross domestic product for the first quarter and found the economy contracted at an annual rate of 0.5%.

US economic activity looks set to post a sharply softer rate of growth in the initial estimate of Q1 GDP, based on the median nowcast for several estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.

Shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles on April 3. The latest US GDP report showed that goods imports rose by 51% in the first quarter, the fastest pace since 2020.

US economy shrank 0.5% between January and March, worse than 2 earlier estimates had revealed First-quarter growth sank under a surge of imports as companies in the United States rushed to bring ...