That new tariffs are on the way is less important than their final shape. The problem is, nobody seems to know what that will ...

We don’t expect a linear recovery among Hispanic consumers and see potential for choppiness in sentiment given ICE-related ...

It is too soon to judge the tariffs’ exact effect on the American economy, but as they bite, activity is likely to slow. Chart: The Economist Inflation data were also released on April 30th.

Mind the ever-present risks: Of course, we should not get complacent. There will always be risks to worry about, such as U.S.

The chart below clearly shows how manufacturers are gearing up for the impact of the tariffs. The ratio of ISM Manufacturing new orders to inventories is near its lowest level in the last 75 years and ...

The nearby chart shows an economy with five percent inflation for a few years, followed by ten percent inflation. Note that higher inflation shows as a steeper slope, year after year.

The growth of the U.S. economy is slowing, with the gross domestic product dropping to closer to the “normal” level of around 2%. The probability of a recession remains low.