Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

This article is part of the Bracket Central series, an inside look at the run-up to the men’s and women’s NCAA Tournaments, along with analysis and picks during the tournaments. The NCAA selection committee revealed its first iteration of the Top 16,

NCAA tournament bubble watch time, and several teams are fighting to earn one of the 37 at-large bids. At least temporarily, with the disbandment of the Pac-12, one more at-large bid is available this year.

There’s one month until the NCAA Tournament selection show and there are still many teams battling to get off the bubble and into the field.

Here's a look at how the NCAA Tournament bracket projects as men's college basketball heads into late February. Who's in, out and on the bubble?

The Quad 1 win, earned without the services of second-leading scorer Cam Hildreth, not only repaired the damage caused by the Florida State meltdown — it catapulted the Deacons up to No. 58 in the NCAA’s NET rankings. Eight spots higher than they started the week.

Arkansas' Adou Thiero, Zvonimir Ivisic and DJ Wagner have made significant jumps since transferring over from Kentucky and are doing their best to help the Hogs make the NCAA Tournament.

Who is on bubble for 2025 NCAA Tournament? Check out teams that have work to do, according to latest March Madness college basketball projections.