But you will see from the chart it is not always the best option based on context.” Optimum Scouting found the two-point conversion the best option to increase a team’s win probability overall ...

Vermeil's chart (see box) has widely been used on every level of football since then, and it was used in two games this past weekend in the NFL. This is the crux of the two-point conversion chart ...

If you’re skeptical of the chart, you could intuit your own using the method outlined in that article. I set this threshold at a 40 percent expected conversion rate (the same as the bottom of ...