If those odds play out, NewScientist reports that a direct impact could "shower Earth with a cloud of satellite-destroying shrapnel." The study concluded that, if the asteroid hits the moon, the ...

An asteroid that, until a few months ago, was believed to be a threat to Earth is increasingly looking like it could crash into the Moon in 2032. Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on Dec. 27 by the ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially considered a potential threat to Earth, is now more likely to hit the moon in 2032. The asteroid, about the size of a 10-story building, has a 4.3% chance of lunar ...

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has popped up on the news again, offering both peril and opportunities, A few months ago, NASA noted that 2024 YR4 had a 3.1 percent chance of hitting the Earth in 2032. Since ...

A ‘city-killer’ asteroid that, until a few months ago, was believed to be a threat to Earth is increasingly looking like it could crash into the Moon in 2032. Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered ...

Depending on whether the asteroid hits the near side of the moon —a 50-50 chance assuming it hits it at all — about 10 percent of the debris, about 100 million kilograms, ranging in size from ...

But our planet is not exactly out of the woods. Astronomers say that, if the asteroid hits the moon, the planet's gravity would siphon upwards of 10 percent of the debris back down to Earth.

The latest probability of impact for asteroid 2024 YR4, as of June 3, 2025, at 4.3 per cent of striking the Moon on December 22, 2032. Along the top of the image is NASA's sequence of plots ...

Scientists are closely observing asteroid 2024 YR4, which poses a 4% chance of colliding with the Moon by 2032, potentially causing significant space debris and disruption.