SportsLine's model simulated Colorado Buffaloes vs. TCU Horned Frogs in the first round of the 2025 Big 12 Tournament on Tuesday 10,000 times

The Buffaloes, who returned to the Big 12 from the Pac-12, are playing in the league’s tournament for the first time since the 2011 season.

Less than a month later, TCU went one-and-done in the Big 12 Tournament in Kansas City, falling 69-67 to No. 16 seed Colorado on Tuesday. It was a perplexing collapse for a team that seemed to be finding its identity at the right time.